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Sunday, February 12, 2012
[Economy Q] Headline vs Core Inflation Difference
What is headline inflation? How is it different from Core inflation?
Headline inflation
It is the figure we get by Wholesale Price index
Wholesale price index (WPI), has three components.
Primary items (food, milk, eggs etc.)
Fuel (kerosene, coal, petrol, diesel, gas,electricity etc)
Manufactured items (textiles, plastic, leather, metal products etc)
Core inflation
it is Headline inflation minus food and fuel prices.
The food and fuel prices keep changing based on season and external factors. Hence, headline inflation gives a very volatile number.
The policymakers (RBI and Fin.Min.), cannot use this number to make future predictions or long-term policies, so they also keep a separate watch on Core-Inflation number.
How do we measure inflation in India?
Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) under the Ministry of statistics and program implementation calculate the WPI, CPI.
The same org. also responsible for compiling
Index of industrial production (IIP)
Related to this
Phillips curve
If the unemployment rate is LOW, Inflation rate will be HIGH.
Stagflation
Both unemployment and inflation rates are high and growth rate is low.
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